Allan Lichtman – The Historian Behind Presidential Predictions and His 2024 Forecast
Why does Allan Lichtman focus on historical trends instead of polls? Lichtman’s system is based on historical data and long-term trends, which he believes provide a more reliable prediction model than fluctuating poll numbers or media narratives.
Has Allan Lichtman ever made a wrong prediction? Lichtman has been wrong only once, in the 2000 election, when he predicted Al Gore would win. While Gore won the popular vote, George W. Bush became president after a Supreme Court ruling.
Read more: Allan Lichtman 2016
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